On December 6, the Public Utility Commission released its 2024 Winter Reliability Overview Reports from Pennsylvania’s major natural gas distribution companies (NGDCs), along with a Readiness Report from the Energy Association of Pennsylvania (EAP).
The PUC said these reports provide key insights into the utilities’ readiness to meet the energy needs of residential and business customers during the upcoming heating season.
According to the Energy Association, total natural gas consumption across all sectors is forecast to decrease by 1.8% compared to last winter, with demand expected to fall to 234.7 billion cubic feet (Bcf), compared to the 238.9 Bcf forecast for the prior heating season.
For residential consumers, the energy association projects that home heating costs will be slightly higher—approximately 1% more than last winter, according to the Energy Association.
Where Gas Comes From
The Energy Association said natural gas to meet the expected winter demand of 234.7 billion cubic feet will come from these sources-- flowing interstate gas-- 141.9 billion cubic feet; gas storage withdrawals-- 89.2 billion cubic feet; local Pennsylvania production- 2.2 billion cubic feet; and peak shaving-- 1.4 billion cubic feet. Read more here.
Key Highlights for 2024
-- Enhanced System Readiness: All NGDCs reported sufficient supplies and detailed plans to ensure reliable service throughout the winter. UGI Utilities noted a 25% reduction in Class B leaks—classified as "in-progress" leaks—over the past three years, underscoring ongoing infrastructure improvements.
-- Emergency Preparedness Drills: NGDCs highlighted a variety of internal readiness exercises conducted ahead of the winter heating season. PECO emphasized its summer emergency preparedness drills designed to ensure smooth operations during potential extreme weather events.
-- Demand for Natural Gas Generators: NGDCs affirmed their ability to meet the needs of natural gas-fired generators this winter. However, the PUC’s Technical Utility Services (TUS) division noted that significant upstream supply disruptions, beyond the control of NGDCs, could lead to curtailments for firm industrial and generation customers. NGDCs emphasized having communication and coordination plans in place for any affected customers in such scenarios.
Utility Reliability Reports
The complete Winter Reliability Overview Reports for 2024 for each natural gas utility are available using the following links:
-- Energy Association of PA
-- Columbia Gas of PA
-- National Fuel Gas
-- PECO Energy
-- Peoples Natural Gas & Peoples Gas
-- Philadelphia Gas Works
-- UGI Utilities – Gas Division
Click Here for the complete PUC announcement.
Visit the PUC's Reliability webpage for more information on natural gas and electric distribution company reliability reports.
Resource Links:
-- Utility Dive: North American Electric Reliability Corp: Natural Gas Electric Generation Is Threatened This Winter By Ongoing Concerns About Gas Production, Delivery In Extreme Weather Conditions [PaEN]
-- PJM Interconnection Winter Outlook: Adequate Power Supplies Available Under Normal Conditions; PJM Delays Next Power Auction After Prices Spike [PaEN]
-- Pennsylvania’s Electric Grid Is Dependent On One Fuel To Generate 59% Of Our Electricity; Market Moving To Renewables + Storage [PaEN]
-- PUC Invites Stakeholder Comments On The Issue Of The Adequacy Of Electricity Supplies In Pennsylvania [PaEN]
-- PUC Encourages Consumers To Prepare For Dec. 1 Electricity Price Changes; Rates Will Vary From 8.4% Decrease To 31.2% Increase [PaEN]
-- Public Citizen: LNG Gas Exports Could Cost Pennsylvanians Up To $16 Billion More In Energy Costs [PaEN]
PA Oil & Gas Industry Public Notice Dashboards:
-- PA Oil & Gas Weekly Compliance Dashboard - Nov. 30 to Dec. 6 - Abandoned Shale Gas Wells Doubled From Last Year; Failure To Comply With Court Order To Plug Conventional Wells; Abandoned Waste Injection Well [PaEN]
-- PA Oil & Gas Industrial Facilities: Permit Notices, Opportunities To Comment - December 7 [PaEN]
-- DEP Posted 91 Pages Of Permit-Related Notices In December 7 PA Bulletin [PaEN]
Related Articles This Week:
-- DEP Sees ‘Very Significant Budget Gap’ In Funding Oil & Gas Regulation Program Due To Reduced Permit Fee Revenue [PaEN]
-- Baker Hughes: PA Natural Gas Drilling Rigs Up 1 To 16 From Last Week; 21 On Aug. 23
-- DCED PA Crude [Oil] Development Advisory Council Meets Dec. 12 To Discuss Road Dumping Oil & Gas Wastewater; New EPA Methane Emissions Reduction Program; Other Updates [PaEN]
-- What Will Shale Gas Leave Behind? DEP Issues 10 Violations To Big Dog Energy, LLC, Diversified Production LLC For Abandoning Shale Gas Wells; Violations For Shale Gas Abandonments More Than Doubled In 2024 [PaEN]
-- DEP: Horizontal Exploration LLC Failed To Comply With State Court Order To Plug 6 Conventional Wells In McKean County [PaEN]
-- DEP Issues Abandoned Well Violation To Oil & Gas Wastewater Injection Well With Nearly Full Storage Tanks, Expired EPA Permit In Venango County [PaEN]
-- Apply Now! DEP Conventional Oil & Gas Methane Reduction Well Plugging Grant Applications Due Dec. 16; $44.4 Million Available - Only 10 Applicants Applied For 77 Wells So Far [PaEN]
-- Penn State Extension Hosts Dec. 12 Webinar On Carbon Reduction Credits In Oil & Gas Well Plugging [PaEN]
-- Independent Fiscal Office Reports Slight Increase In PA 3rd Quarter Natural Gas Production; Lowest Number Of New Shale Gas Wells Drilled Since 2008 [PaEN]
-- PA Senate Republicans To Reintroduce Bills Limiting Citizen Rights To Appeal DEP Permit Decisions, Punish Communities That Take Steps To Protect Themselves Against Shale Gas Development Impacts [PaEN]
-- PUC: Natural Gas Distribution Companies Prepare For Winter - Gas Consumption Expected To Decrease 1.8%, Cost For Residential Customers To Increase 1% [PaEN]
-- PUC Enforcement Bureau Files Complaint Against Philadelphia Gas Works Over 2021 Natural Gas House Explosion; Alleging The Company Failed To Properly Investigate, Address Leaking Gas Pipeline [PaEN]
-- PUC To Seek Public Comments On Settlement With Columbia Gas Concerning Welding Issues At Regulator Station In Beaver County [PaEN]
NewsClips:
-- Post-Gazette: Fracking, Clean Air Permits Dominate Allegheny County Board Of Health Meeting
-- Marcellus Drilling News: EQT Hits Back At Greene County Landowners Claiming Water Contamination [PDF of Article]
-- TribLive: Upper Burrell Twp. Considers Oil & Gas Wastewater Injection Well Rules In Westmoreland County [‘They Can’t Use Upper Burrell As A Garbage Place To Dump Bad Water’]
-- Marcellus Drilling News: Homer City Coal-Fired Power Plant To Be Demolished, New Natural Gas-Fired Power Plant To Be Built [PDF of Article]
-- Power Magazine: Largest PA Coal-Fired Power Plant Will Convert To Natural Gas [Homer City]
-- E&E News/Politico: PJM Boosts Natural Gas Ahead Of Wind, Solar In Contentious Electric Grid Interconnection Review Plan
-- E&E News/Politico: Williams Pipeline CEO Urges Republicans To Put FERC In Sole Charge Of Energy Permits, States Should Be Removed From The Process
-- CNX Resources Announces Acquisition Of Apex Energy Upstream, Midstream Business
-- TribLive: CNX Resources To Acquire Apex, Gain 36,000 Acres In Westmoreland County
-- Inquirer Column: Gov. Shapiro Fast-Tracks Oil Refinery Redevelopment, Impacted Residents Call For Philadelphia City Council Hearings
-- TribLive: Plum Boro Homeowner Accused Of Trying To Blow Up His House With Natural Gas In Allegheny County
-- Marcellus Drilling News: State Of Ohio Cleanup Of Martins Ferry Oil & Gas Waste Processing Facility Owned By PA Company In WV One-Third Complete [PDF of Article]
-- WTRF: Controversy Continues As State Cleanup Of Martins Ferry Oil & Gas Waste Processing Facility Owned By PA Company In WV
-- Reuters: Natural Gas Prices Rose 30-50% In 2024; Key Global Natural Gas Prices Set To Keep Rising Into 2025
-- Reuters: US LNG Gas Exports To Europe Surge In November On Higher Prices
-- Bloomberg: European Natural Gas Rises As Colder Weather Forecasts Add To Worries
-- Reuters: Shell, QatarEnergy Sign Long-Term Purchase Agreement To Sell LNG Gas To China
-- Reuters: Rising LNG Gas Export Facility Costs Make New US Project Less Competitive, Says Analyst
[Posted: December 6, 2024]
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